Betting on sports involves full-fledged analysis of each event. To optimize time and effort, it is worth making a checklist and itemize the upcoming matches. Such lists will differ depending on the events, but the general algorithm will be similar. It is important to analyze all items in the aggregate, without neglecting the individual components. Let’s find out what an event analysis consists of and what aspects you need to pay attention to.
Soccer is not an easy sport to analyze, as many aspects have to be taken into account at the same time. It is especially important that any changes should be monitored up to the starting whistle, as a key player can get injured even in the pre-match warm-up.
- The form of the opponents – the results of recent matches. Moreover, it is necessary to analyze separately home and away matches, because the factor of home field plays a huge role;
- Statistics of face-to-face encounters – personal matches are analyzed within the interval of the calendar year, so that the compositions were as close to the current ones as possible;
- Team schedule – participation in parallel tournaments, extra days that one of the teams gets for rest and preparation is analyzed;
- Tactical analysis – comparing the tactical schemes and game models, looking for their advantages and disadvantages. It’s also necessary to trace whether the formation changes depending on the situation on the field;
- Injured and Disabled players – analyze the list of players who are in the infirmary. It is also important to track yellow and red cards, take into consideration decisions of the CDC;
- The presence or absence of tournament motivation – keep track of the standings. It is especially important to pay attention to whether the team is fighting for the European Cup / survival, whether its tournament position may change for any reason before the end of the draw;
- Statistical features of the head referee – counting the average number of yellow and red cards shown by the referee, the number of penalties given during the season;
- General league trends – general statistical patterns of championships in terms of average number of goals scored, corners served, home/away wins;
- News about players’ personal lives – information appearing in the media and players’ social networks. Influence on the state (physical and emotional) and readiness to play can have a childbirth, divorce, other family circumstances;
- Advanced statistics – separately important with the help of special services to track advanced data. For example, the xG-indicator of expected goals. It demonstrates the expected performance of the upcoming match.
In hockey, you can get by with a limited shorter list of items, because some of them are expanded, include several components for analytical work at once.
- The lineup for the match – they appear just before the game. But if you want to make a bet in advance, you can rely on the preliminary selection of players. You can analyze the hockey players who came on the ice in the last game (except for the injured and disqualified);
- Goaltending – the average reliability coefficient for the season is taken into account, as well as the missed pucks over the last five games. Goalie reliability for all teams against a particular opponent is also evaluated;
- State of the teams – the results over the last 10 games, the average percentage of wins and losses during regular time. It is also important to look at home and away games separately. In hockey, the home field factor in some teams is decisive;
- Statistics of face-to-face encounters – all personal meetings over the past year are considered by main indicators. It is desirable to consider even the number of shots made, power plays, violations committed;
- Schedule of matches – in hockey, the team has to hold several meetings in a week, it has a heavy load. Therefore, even a few extra hours of rest and preparation can have a major impact on the final result;
- Majority and Minority: you should monitor how often the players of each team are sent off. This is followed by evaluating the performance of the extra point and the reliability of the minority crews;
- Advanced stats – hockey has its own counterpart xG (Corsi metric), which shows the number of pucks expected in a game. In addition, there are other special metrics that allow you to study information about the event in depth. For example, you can find out how much time per game a team has the puck on average;
- League trends – general statistical patterns of the championship should be considered with caution. They can be very indirectly important for specific opponents.
The role of personality is increasing in basketball; individual players can drag it out almost single-handedly. Therefore, there are more elements to analyze.
- The current state of the team – the last 10 games are analyzed. Separately, it is worth reviewing 10 meetings, which were held at home or away (depending on the team);
- Face-to-face encounters – personal meetings of opponents over the past year;
- Game schedules – the competition calendar, taking into account various extraneous factors (parallel tournaments, pauses for national team games, training camp);
- Injured basketball players – this element is important to monitor constantly, because the decision on some players is made by the coaching staff right before the meeting;
- Current form of the leaders and their condition – personal statistics of the key players are analyzed: the number of points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocked shots and incompletions;
- Conflicts or direct confrontations – here it is advisable to divide the analysis into two parts. The first involves examining the presence of conflicts within the team. The second is the principal clashes between representatives of opposing teams;
- Statistical characteristics of teams – the number of points scored and missed, as well as averages of rebounds, steals, blocked shots and other important game indicators;
- Advanced stats – Profile sites offer in-depth stats on teams and players. For example, you can find out the average number of assists per attack, as well as the time it takes a team to get out of its half court;
- Game formation – analysis of the tactical scheme with a breakdown of the positions and the role of each player. In addition, it is important to determine whether the formation is defensive or offensive.
Tennis is an individual sport in which everything depends completely on one performer. We can think of doubles, but even there an injury or a bad condition of one of the tennis players is likely to lead to defeat.
- The form of your opponents – match statistics for the last month. It is better not to choose 10 matches, because the tennis player can stretch them for a calendar year, and this will interfere with the objectivity of the data;
- Coverage – it is necessary to assess how the athlete performs on a particular type of court, using data throughout his career;
- Personal meetings – statistics of face-to-face encounters. It is better to take the most recent meetings, as well as the nature of the coverage;
- Statistical indicators – data on recent matches, including the number of aces, percentage of first serves, points won, uncalled errors. You can also use in-depth data: number of exits to the net, serving speed, preferred method of hitting;
- Competition schedule – frequency of court appearances, presence or absence of long pauses, time since last match;
- World Ranking Dynamics – analyzes the tennis player’s progress in the ATP/WTA world rankings over the past year;
- Tournament motivation – this refers to the increased importance of certain tournaments due to the need to protect ranking points earned in the previous season;
- Injuries and ailments – any discomfort can affect a tennis player’s behavior on the court, so it is very important to follow news about the athletes’ physical condition. For this purpose, it is advisable to watch both the official media and the players’ social networks;
- Emotional stability is the most important factor that can help when choosing bets on the winner, total and handicap. Some tennis players blatantly “give up” matches if they lose the threads of the game. For example, purposely give up their serves;
- Location of the competition – most often the support of the native audience gives strength. Especially if the tournament is held in the city where the tennis player was born.
Analyzing a cyber sports event is also a difficult exercise, because a large number of factors need to be taken into account.
- The form of the participants of the meeting – the analysis of all the last matches since the beginning of the year. In cybersport, the time factor does not play such a serious role, so it is advisable to use such a stretch of time. The only exception is the teams that have changed their lineup;
- Face-to-face matches – only matches that teams have played in rosters similar or close to the current roster are evaluated;
- Opponents’ lineups – presence or absence of substitutes is monitored;
- Format of the tournament – three aspects are analyzed at once. LAN or online form, the number of cards to win the match, as well as the tournament grid (is Double Elimination system supposed);
- Prize money and tournament motivation – not all tournaments are of interest to strong teams. In some tournaments they play solely to maintain their form, and rarely use the best tactics and strategies;
- Integrity of confrontation – recently in cybersport there has also been a lot of thrashing. Therefore, it is important to monitor the extent to which the personal relationships of cyber athletes affect their motivation.
In mixed martial arts, important circumstances can appear right up until the start of the fight. Therefore, it is very important not to rush the analysis, to consider all aspects.
- The form of opponents – analysis of opponent statistics. It is worth to look separately at the full lay-out of fights and the selection for the last three years;
- Date of the last fight held – it is very important how long the fighter has been stagnant. There are also reverse situations, when after the previous fight, the athlete does not have time to recover;
- Comparison of dimensions – studying the anthropometric data of the opponents. The most important indicators are height and arm span;
- Age – the older a fighter is, the harder it is for him to withstand fights in terms of physical readiness. But at the same time such athletes are more experienced and are able to take the cunning;
- Comparison of styles – the manner of fighting is analyzed. It is important to understand if the fighters prefer a standup or a parterre, in order to determine the way to finish the fight;
- History of rivalry and thrashing – some fights turn out to be as fierce as possible because of the warm-up on social media, mutual insults. Individual statements cross the line, so fighters try to “finish” each other off as quickly as possible in the ring;
- Additional factors (winning streak, home stands) – additional motivation may be added by a record (or near-record) winning streak, as well as an event that takes place in the athlete’s home country;
- Training camp – it’s worth looking up news about how familiar the training conditions were to the bout where the athlete was training. Often an abrupt change of coach or location can lead to a functional decline.
Any sport is easier to analyze if you have a special checklist at hand. The main thing is to strictly follow its items, without neglecting or forgetting about individual aspects. This allows you to fully analyze the event and choose the best bet. Lists for different sports are quite similar, which allows you to form an almost universal checklist over time. But the peculiarities and unique features of soccer, hockey or basketball should always be taken into account.